Cleveland Browns vs Washington Commanders Prediction, Preview, and Odds

This Sunday, the (6-9) Cleveland Browns will travel to Landover, MD to take on the (7-7-1) Washington Commanders. Kickoff will be at 1:00 PM EST inside FedExField. Both of these teams suffered a loss last week, but I am expecting them to come out aggressive in this game.

The Browns are coming into this game after falling to the New Orleans Saints, 17-10. They struggled with the ball in their hands, as they couldn’t consistently move the ball enough to cover the spread. They will have to be more efficient in this one if they want to challenge the commanders on the road.

The Washington Commanders are entering this matchup after losing to the San Francisco 49ers, 37-20. They have a chance to clinch a playoff berth if they win but will need help. They struggled on the defensive side of the ball, as they couldn’t consistently stop the Niners in that game. They will have to be better against the run in this one if they want to take care of business at home.

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Will the Browns Bounce Back?

The Cleveland Browns are currently in last place in the AFC North, as they trail the Cincinnati Bengals by five games as they are playing for pride. On offense, they are scoring 21.5 points per game and they are averaging 355.1 total yards. This is the 14th most points scored and the 10th most yards averaged per game. Deshaun Watson will start at quarterback, as he has thrown for two touchdowns and three interceptions in his first four starts. The Browns are also throwing for 207.7 passing yards per game, which is the 22nd most in the NFL. Amari Cooper is the leading receiver for Cleveland, as he has caught 73 passes for 1,004 yards and seven touchdowns. The Browns have also shown that they can consistently run the rock. They are averaging 147.3 rushing yards per game, which is the fifth most in the entire league. Nick Chubb is the lead back, as he has recorded 1,344 yards and 12 touchdowns this season.

On defense, Cleveland has struggled to consistently stop their opponents. They are currently surrendering 22.9 points per game and 335.9 total yards. This is the 21st most points allowed per game and the 16th most yards. They have also struggled against the run, as their front seven hasn’t made enough plays. They are allowing 134.3 rushing yards per game, which is the 25th most in the NFL. Grant Delpit has been the top performer on this side of the ball, as he has recorded 67 tackles and two interceptions this season. The Browns have been better against the pass, though. They are only allowing 201.5 passing yards per game, which is the eighth least in the league, as they have shown that they can cover on the outside.

Injury Report: Demetric Felton Jr. RB (Illness), John Johnson III S (Thigh), Jedrick Willis Jr. OT (Back), Amari Cooper WR (Hip), and Jadeveon Clowney DE (Head) are all out.

Can the Commanders Recover?

The Washington Commanders are currently in the last place in the NFC East, as they are 5.5 games back from the first-place Philadelphia Eagles. On offense, they will be starting Carson Wentz at quarterback, as they will be benching Taylor Heinicke in this one. The Commanders are throwing for 212.7 passing yards per game, which is the 19th most in the league. Wentz will look to get the ball to Terry McLaurin, as he leads the team with 1,092 receiving yards and four touchdowns. They are also scoring 19 points per game and averaging 336.4 total yards, which is the 24th most points scored and the 19th most total yards. Washington has also shown that it can efficiently move the ball on the ground. Brian Robinson Jr. has been carrying the load as of late, as he leads the team with 710 rushing yards and two touchdowns. The Commanders are also running for 123.7 yards per game, which is the 13th most in the NFL.

On defence, the Commanders have shown that they are tough to beat. They are allowing 20.9 points per game and 313 total yards. This is the 12th least amount of points allowed per game and the fourth least amount of yards. Their secondary has been very strong, as they are only surrendering 198.6 passing yards per game. This is the seventh least in the league, as they have shown that they can cover on the outside. Washington has also shown that they are solid against the run. They are only allowing 114.4 rushing yards per game, which is the 13th least. They have consistently clogged the middle and stopped the run, which will be a challenge against Nick Chubb. Jamin Davis continues to lead the way on the defensive side of the field, as he has recorded 63 tackles and three sacks this season. Last week, he had eight total tackles against the Niners.

Injury Report: Chase Young DE (Probable). Antonio Gibson RB (Knee), James Smith-Williams DE (Undisclosed), Derrick Forrest S (Illness), Wes Schweitzer G (Illness), Percy Butler S (Hip),

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I am going to roll with the home team in this matchup and I am going to lay the points (-2). Carson Wentz will be starting at quarterback and I see him providing a spark that will allow them to score enough points to cover this spread. Washington has struggled to move the ball through the air with Heinicke, but I see Wentz being a better passer when he is healthy. Washington is also running for the 13th most rush yards per game, as they can efficiently move the ball on the ground. The Browns’ front seven has continued to struggle, as they won’t be able to stop the Commanders’ offensive attack. This will allow them to score efficiently and slowly pull away. The Browns are also allowing the 21st most points per game and the 16th most total yards. They will struggle to stay in this game, as the Commanders will come out playing for their playoff lives. Cleveland also looked horrible against the Saints in their snowy game last week and Watson hasn’t impressed me to start the year.

Pick the Washington Commanders and lay the points (-2).

Prediction: Washington Commanders -2

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I am going to stick with the under (41) in this matchup, as I don’t see the Browns scoring enough points to push this total over the number. Watson has been shaky to begin his season and they aren’t giving the ball to Nick Chubb enough. The Washington defense has also been very good. They are surrendering the 12th least amount of points per game and the fourth least amount of total yards. They will be able to slow down the Cleveland rushing attack and force Watson to beat them with his arm. I don’t see that happening and the Washington defense will keep this total under the number. I don’t see the Commanders going crazy on the offensive side of the ball either. They are only scoring the 24th most points per game and averaging the 19th most total yards. Cleveland will get consistent stops and this total will remain under the number.

Take the under (41) points and expect a defensive battle.

Prediction: Under 41

Written By
Mason Folz, “Mason Folz”

Mason graduated from the University of Colorado, Boulder and he has been watching SportsCenter since before he could walk. He has been crunching numbers since he could learn to count and nothing makes Mason happier in this world than talking sports, unless he is on the golf course! We are very happy to have added Mason to our team at StatSalt and you will be glad as well. Let’s win some money!

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